India Meteorological Department: Long Range Forecast Outlook for the Rainfall During the Second Half of 2011 Southwest Monsoon

India Meteorological Department: Long Range Forecast Outlook for the Rainfall During the Second Half of 2011 Southwest Monsoon

11

Published

11 August 2011
Press Release Number:
N/A

Rainfall over the country as a whole for the second half (August to September) of the 2011 southwest monsoon season is likely to be below normal (86 to 94% of long period average (LPA)). Quantitatively, rainfall for the country as a whole during the period August to September, 2011 is likely to be 90% of LPA with a model error of ±8%. The outlook for the 2011 Southwest Monsoon Season Rainfall is that the monsoon season (June to September) rainfall for the country as a whole is likely to be below normal (90-96% of LPA) as forecasted by IMD in June. The season (June to September) rainfall over the 3 geographical regions (Northwest India, Central India and South Peninsula) is also likely to be within the limits of forecasts (i.e.97% of LPA, 95% of LPA and 94% of LPA respectively all with model errors of ±8% of LPA) issued by IMD in June. However, the season rainfall over Northeast India is likely to be less than lower limit of the IMD forecast (95 ±8% of LPA) issued in June

>> More

Share this page