ROVING SEMINAR ON WEATHER FORECAST VERIFICATION WAS HELD IN JAKARTA

ROVING SEMINAR ON WEATHER FORECAST VERIFICATION WAS HELD IN JAKARTA

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Published

24 November 2015

Jakarta, Indonesia, After having a consultation with the WWRP (World Weather Research Program) of WMO concerning the activity within the Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research (JWGFVR), it was agreed that a roving seminar on forecast verification would be held in Asia, and Indonesia was in a short list of possible host nations for this seminar. Therefore, on 17-19 November 2015, a Roving Seminar on Weather Forecast Verification In Support of Global Framework For Climate Services (GFCS) was held in Jakarta, Indonesia. This seminar is expected to be a forum that serves as a practical exchange on knowledge in new techniques in verification to enhance capability of forecasters, the outcome of which will be used as a reference in improving the accuracy and quality of the forecast.

“Through this seminar, I hope the participants whom most of them are from operational, research, and forecast user communities, first, are able to promote recent advances in the theory and practice of verification of weather and climate forecasts, second, are able to learn from WWRP verification experts new verification techniques and to learn issues related to the practice of forecast verification and methods for more effectively measuring and conveying more accurate forecasts and warning, third, are capable to implement the new paradigm on providing impact based forecasting and risk based warning as adopted during the 17 Congress of WMO last June,” said Dr. Andi Eka Sakya, the Director General of the Agency of Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics of the Republic of Indonesia during the opening ceremony of the seminar.

This was echoed by Dr. Laurie Wilson, the Co-Chair of WMO Joint Working Group On Forecast Verification Research and also one of the lecturers, “The most important value of this seminar is to encourage the practice of verification forecast, so that we will have a better idea how good the quality of our forecasts are now and in the future. With this seminar we can help people to know how accurate their forecast are for forecasting severe weather, disaster, so that action can be taken to plan and prepare for disaster“.

Dr. Nanette Lomarda, a Senior Scientific Officer of WMO, also said that the Seminar will not only be a training exercise but it will also emphasize the reasons why we need to verify the forecasts: namely, to monitor and to improve our forecast quality and to compare the quality of different forecast systems.

One of the participants, Phang Kun Liong, from the Malaysian Meteorological Department, was excited that he could take part on the seminar, “forecast verification is new to me, I have not done any verification by all method that the lecturer shared with us, a lot of new things I learned from this seminar. This seminar is interesting and very useful. As forecasters, we must know about these”, he said it during session break of the seminar.

At the end of the seminar, the lecturers encouraged all seminar participants to making a discussion group or joining discussion forum, such as vx-discuss@rap.ucar.edu, so they can learn about forecast verification more deeply. (kd)

 

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Kasubag PDO

 

 

 

 

Ir. Yanuar Firdausi, MM

Kabag Humas

 

 

 

 

Drs. Eko Suryanto

Kabag Kerjasama

 

 

 

 

Drs. Maman Sudarisman, DEA

Kepala Pusat Meteorologi Publik

 

 

 

 

Drs. R. Mulyono Rahadi Prabowo, M.Sc

 

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