SEASONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK

SEASONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK

4

Published

4 March 2015

Overview:

Oceanic indices suggest El Niño-like pattern during December 2014, while atmospheric features reflect El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-neutral warm conditions
 The SSTA at the central and eastern equatorial Pacific (CEEP) has reached borderline weak El Niño thresholds beginning in September-October-November season (SON 2014). Most computer models favour ENSO-neutral warm conditions to persist during the Dec-January-February (DJF) season. El Niño Watch continues.

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