Climate Outlook for Southern Africa rainy season

Climate Outlook for Southern Africa rainy season

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Published

2 September 2013

The bulk of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) is likely to receive normal to above normal rainfall in the forthcoming October-March rainy season, according to the Southern Africa Regional Climate Outlook Forum. Owing to the differences and evolution patterns in the predominant rainfall-bearing systems, the rainy season has been subdivided into four overlapping three-month periods.

Most of the SADC region is likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall for the period October to December 2013. However, south-westernmost Angola, coastal areas of Namibia, west coastal South Africa and northernmost Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) are more likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall, according to the Outlook.

In the November-December 2013-January 2014 period, bulk of the SADC region is likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall, while the greater part of DRC, northernmost and south-western Angola and western fringes of Namibia and South Africa are likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall.

Bulk of both contiguous SADC and the islands states of Madagascar and Mauritius are likely to receive normal to above normal rainfall during December 2013 to February 2014. However, south-western Angola, most of Namibia, western half of Botswana, most of central and western parts of South Africa and Lesotho are likely to receive above-normal to normal rainfall while the eastern half of Tanzania is likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall. 

SARCOF17-Statement

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