WMO/Oman International Workshop on Tropical Cyclone Forecasting

WMO/Oman International Workshop on Tropical Cyclone Forecasting

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Published

7 October 2014

The Sultanate of Oman and WMO sponsored a workshop to improve operational tropical cyclone forecasting and warning, through providing training for forecasters in the most up-to-date techniques.

The Sultanate of Oman represented by the Directorate of Meteorology in the Public Authority of Civil Aviation hosted the WMO/Oman International Workshop on Dvorak Technique and Tropical Cyclone Forecasting, at the Sultan Qaboos University in Muscat, from 28 September to 2 October 2014.

The workshop covered essential topics on state-of-art technologies in operational tropical cyclone forecasting, with particular focus on Dvorak technique. This is a technique used for tropical cyclone intensity estimation. It is a statistical correlation between cloud banding and intensity of a tropical cyclone. It is considered as the best technique currently available, but is complex and, to some extent, subjective.

The workshop was attended by 13 participants from seven of the eight members of the WMO/Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific’s Panel on Tropical Cyclones (PTC), and 25 local participants. In addition, 2 participants each from the United Arab Emirates and Qatar were also invited to attend at the workshop-It was targeted particularly at meteorologists who have had practical experience in operational tropical cyclone forecasting. Three internationally distinguished experts and a WMO officer in addition to two Omani experts were invited to deliver lectures for the workshop.

Oman, which hosted the event, is quite often impacted by tropical cyclones. One significant case, Tropical Cyclone Gonu, caused severe flooding and damage to the country in 2007

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