SEAMLESS PREDICTION: FROM MINUTES TO MONTHS

SEAMLESS PREDICTION: FROM MINUTES TO MONTHS

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Published

30 June 2015

A new WMO publication Seamless Prediction of the Earth System: From Minutes to Months provides a consolidated road map for future weather research to foster the science needed to make society less vulnerable to high-impact weather.

It synthesizes discussions and outcomes of the World Weather Open Science Conference held in Montreal in August 2014. . The conference brought together the entire weather science and user communities for the first time to review the state-of-the-art and chart the scientific frontiers for the next decade and more.

“We are entering a new era in technological innovation and in use and integration of different sources of information for the wellbeing of society,” said WMO Secretary General Michel Jarraud in the foreword.

“New predictive tools that will detail weather conditions down to neighbourhood and street level, and provide early warnings a month ahead, and forecasts from rainfall to energy consumption will be some of the main outcome of the research activities in weather science over the next decade,” he said.

A better understanding of small-scale processes and their inherent predictability should go together with a better comprehension of how weather related information influence decisional processes, said Mr Jarraud.

The book collects together White Papers describing the state of the science and  discussing the major challenges for making further advances. It is structured with chapters that address topics regarding: Observations and Data Assimilation; Predictability and Processes; Numerical Prediction of the Earth System; Weather-related Hazards and Impacts.

This book marks a point in time and the knowledge that has been accumulating on weather science. It aims to point the way to future developments. It is of interest to researchers and practitioners alike and is hoped to inspire the next generation of weather scientists.

The publication is available here

Watch the video clip here

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