The Forum on Regional Climate Monitoring-Assessment-Prediction for Asia (FOCRA) has issued its seasonal outlook for summer (June-July-August) 2015.
It predicted weaker than normal East Asia and Indian summer monsoons. Precipitation, which is influenced by external factors such as the El Niño Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, Arctic Oscillation, and so on, is expected to be near normal in West Asia, above normal or near normal in Central Asia and East Asia, below normal or near normal in South Asia and Southeast Asia. There is a high probability for above or near normal temperatures over the entire Asian region.
The number of tropical cyclones over the South China Sea and Northwest Pacific is likely to be less than normal during the coming season. It may be more active in the early season and less active in later season.
Around 90 participants from 25 countries and territories attended the Forum. They discussed seasonal forecasts received from WMO’s Global Producing Centers, Regional Climate Centers and other regional entities (APCC) to issue the climate outlook, which is a consensus product based on many different models and expert assessments.
The Forum took place from 11 to 13 May 2015 in Beijing, China. It was hosted by Beijing Climate Centre (BCC), with support from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and China Meteorological Administration (CMA). It was cosponsored by the State Administration of Foreign Expert Affairs and WMO East Asian Monsoon Activity Center.
Seasonal outlook for JJA rainfall over Asia region
International Training Course on Global Framework for Climate Services
Participants of the FOCRA took part in an International Training Course on the Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) from 14th to 22 May. This was organized by the Regional Training Centre (RTC) Beijing and Beijing Climate Centre.
International trainees from 18 member countries attended the course. Experts from WMO, the Beijing Climate Centre, APEC Climate Centre, and Météo-France shared good experiences on climate services globally and in China. RTC Beijing applied a new teaching mode in this training course, combining the long-distance virtual classroom with the traditional classroom.