The WMO World Weather Research Programme’s Polar Prediction Project aims to advance the science in numerical models, data acquisition and assimilation, ensemble forecast methods, verification, and the production of prediction products – all with a polar emphasis.
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Above normal air and sea-surface temperatures are expected over the majority of the Arctic regions in June, July, and August 2021. Lower to near normal ice cover is the predominant forecast while early to near normal break-up of sea ice is expected for most regions. This is according to a new seasonal climate outlook produced by the Arctic Climate Forum.
New observations show that the increase in Arctic average surface temperature between 1979 and 2019 was three times higher than the global average during this period – higher than previously reported - according to the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP).
Above normal temperatures and precipitation are expected across most of the Arctic region for November-January 2020/2021, according to a new seasonal climate outlook produced at the sixth session of Arctic Climate Forum.
Above normal temperatures are expected to continue across the majority of the Arctic for June–August 2020, according to the Arctic Climate Forum, which provides information for decision-makers about a rapidly changing region, which is warming more than twice the global mean.
The second session of the Pan-Arctic Climate Outlook Forum (PARCOF-2) was held virtually on 30 October 2018 to review the climate conditions during the previous summer season, and to provide outlook for the forthcoming winter season.