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Communicating Forecast Uncertainty for Service Providers
Bulletin nº Vol 57 (4) - 2008
1
Publish Date: 1 October 2008
by Jon Gill Uncertainty is an inherent ingredient in the hydrometeorological forecasting process. Forecasters are familiar with the question of uncertainty and predictability and must deal with it every time a forecast is prepared. Sometimes, the available computer models or other guidance are consistent in their predictions and the forecaster is confident of the outcome. At other times, the models may differ greatly or the weather parameter may be intrinsically difficult to forecast. Nevertheless, a forecast must be made, even when confidence is low.
Partnership between Private and Public Sectors in Service Delivery
Bulletin nº Vol 57 (4) - 2008
1
Publish Date: 1 October 2008
by Neil Gordon A number of factors have led to many National Meteorological Services becoming involved in the provision of value-added services, in addition to their core government-funded role. These include trends since the 1980s and 1990s for government bodies to take a more “business-like” approach, financial pressures on NMSs causing them to seek additional revenue sources, and an increasing ability for NMSs to add value to the core publicly funded services they already produce.
Economic Valuation and Application of Services
Bulletin nº Vol 57 (4) - 2008
1
Publish Date: 1 October 2008
by Jeffrey K. Lazo, Nathaniel F. Bushek, Emily K. Laidlaw, Robert S. Raucher, Thomas J. Teisberg, Carolyn J. Wagner and Rodney F. Weiher Measuring the economic impact of hydrometeorological services and information typically involves assessing the impact of hydrometeorological events or forecasts of events on specific economic sectors such as trans­portation, energy or agriculture. Changes in measures of output, employment, revenue or taxes are presented as the economic impacts of these events or forecasts.
Public Health and Weather Services–Climate Information for the Health Sector
Bulletin nº Vol 57 (4) - 2008
1
Publish Date: 1 October 2008
by T.A. Ghebreyesus, Z. Tadese, D. Jima, E. Bekele, A. Mihretie, Y.Y. Yihdego, T. Dinku, S.J. Connor and D.P. Rogers Climate is a key variable in managing the overall burden of disease, particularly in developing countries where the ability to control climate-sensitive diseases constrains the prospects of achieving the United Nations Millennium Development Goals. To mitigate their adverse effects, the health sector needs to understand and quantify the specific effects of climate variability and change both on the overall disease burden and on opportunities and effectiveness in the public...
50 Years Ago ...
Bulletin nº Vol 57 (4) - 2008
1
Publish Date: 1 October 2008
The October 1958 issue of the Bulletin contained articles entitled “Agricultural meteorology”, “A world hydrological organization?”, “The role of WMO in hydrology”, “Heat balance of the surface of the Earth” (a long article by M.I. Budyko which addressed the climatology of the heat balance and some of the problems) and covered International Geophysical Year, activities of regional association and of technical commissions, and collaboration with other international organizations.
Obituary
Bulletin nº Vol 57 (4) - 2008
1
Publish Date: 1 October 2008
Brendan McWilliams, former Director of Administration at the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT), and former Assistant Director of the Irish Meteorological Service, died on 22 October 2007 at the age of 63 after a short illness.
Innovations and New Technology for Improved Weather Services
Bulletin nº Vol 57 (4) - 2008
1
Publish Date: 1 October 2008
by John L. Guiney New communication networks and forecast system innovations and technology have emerged which provide the opportunity to improve public weather services. These innovations allow National Meteorological and Hydrometeorological Services to provide hydrometeorological forecasts and warnings in a variety of formats beyond traditional text products.
Political, Economic, Technological and Cultural Influences that Will Shape Service Delivery in the Next Decade
Bulletin nº Vol 57 (4) - 2008
1
Publish Date: 1 October 2008
by David Grimes There are several key influences presenting significant challenges and opportunities when considering the evolution of national public weather services programmes today. A diagnosis of these factors should provide insights into effective planning and development of relevant, user-defined products and services of National Meteorological and Hydrological Services in the future.
Taking Action through Pilot Projects: “Learning through Doing”
Weather, Climate, Climate services, Forecast, Environment, Natural hazards, Climate change, Education, Disaster risk reduction, Data exchange, Partnership, Capacity development, Water
Bulletin nº Vol 57 (4) - 2008
1
Publish Date: 1 October 2008
by M.C. Wong and Hilda Lam An eminent psychologist, Carl Roger (as cited in Kraft, 1978), asserted: “The only learning which significantly influences behaviour is self-discovered, self-appropriated learning”. Learning cannot be imposed. It can only be acquired through participation.
News from the WMO Secretariat
Weather, Climate, Climate services, Environment, Capacity development, Climate change, Agriculture and food security, Research, Water, Observations, Data exchange
Bulletin nº Vol 57 (4) - 2008
1
Publish Date: 1 October 2008
The Secretary-General, Michel Jarraud, recently made official visits to a number of Member countries as briefly reported below. He wishes to place on record his gratitude to those Members for the kindness and hospitality extended to him.