El Niño/La Niña Update (June 2025)

The latest forecasts from the WMO Global Producing Centres for Seasonal Prediction indicate that sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific are expected to remain close to average, with a 70% chance of ENSO-neutral conditions continuing and a 30% chance of La Niña conditions developing during the period June–August 2025. Forecasts for the period July-September 2025 suggest about 65% chance of continued ENSO-neutral conditions, with the chances of La Niña conditions slightly increasing to about 35%. The chance of El Niño developing is negligible during the forecast period (June to September).