Research reveals changing hail risks in a warming Europe

26 September 2025

Climate change may lead to less frequent but bigger and more devastating hail storms, new research has shown.

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Climate experts from the Met Office, Newcastle University and the University of Bristol used European-wide km-scale simulations to model future changes to hail with global warming. Published in the journal Nature Communications, the study shows that, under a high-emissions scenario (RCP8.5), severe hail is likely to become less common, except potentially for very large hail.